Anxious Unpredictable Manipulative Netherless Only

Probability test is just 9hrs away.

I can feel it already.

Arithmetric Progression, Geometric Progression covers the 1st half.

Basic probability, Compound event, and Mutually exclusive probability covers the rest.

Lets make things "complicated" to ease the learning process:

Q1 A bag has 4 boxes, A box has 4 packets, A packet has 4 seals, A seal has 4sweets.
It was said that Each sweet was packaged with a unique number starting arithmetically
from 1 to n.
Find the probability of the sweet obtained is labelled 4.

A: This may seems confusing with so many 4's. Some may suggest to draw diagrams. U will end up 128 branches, by the time u finish the diagram, you realise how stupid u were.

It's simple. convert the relation: 4(4)(4)(4) = 128. which is the total number of sweets, also the number of possible outcome. as stated 1 to n, increasing arithmetically,
It can be concluded the pack contain labels from 1 to 128.
So the probability of getting 4, is nothng difren from the Probability of getting any other number,

P(4) = 1/128

done.


Q2. In A survey of men and women, the probability of a men chosen is not swimmer is 0.2, the probability of the swimmer chosen is a women is 0.4 . The probability of the person chosen swims is 0.7. State the probability of the person chosen is a female.

If you were to draw the Probability Tree out, and sort the value out. I would be Quite Confusing,
You may easily got stucked like a pile of shit. And, It would look like this:


SMen (0.6)

0.7 Swims
SWomen 0.4
Event
S'Men 0.2
0.3 Swims'
S'Women (0.8)

Aiyo, but now they duwan to see from the swimming event, but from the gender. So how?
Die. Use Independent Event formula.P(A) X P(B) then GG.

I always use a method to check in such situation, which Ms. Geetha doesn't encourage, she label it "too complicated". Here's how

Understanding probability as how probable is an event to turn out such outcome.
E.g.
The probability for Anna's marriage to be succesful is 1/10. Means for every 10 marriage, she will Divorce 9 times, and only manage to maintain 1.

Applying teh same concept, Lets use Sampling
Let The total number of person in this survey = X
and X will be 1000.

So now using the same tree,

SMen 0.6 [ 700x0.6]ppl

0.7 Swims ( 700ppl)
SWomen 0.4 [700x 0.4]ppl
1000ppl
S'Men 0.2 [ 300x 0.2]ppl
0.3 Swims'(300ppl)
S'Women 0.8 [300 x 0.8]ppl

With this you will get the weightage of each portion.
Your answer would be the {total number of female / total number of people}

which is { (total female swimmer + total female non swimmer)/ total no. of people}

This is just the understanding of how you get to know probability through sampling.
Indeed the direct way is to add up the total probability involved in this event(women):

0.7x0.4 + 0.3X0.8 = Answer

But you dont memorise formula's, you understand them. ;)

People tend to have imaginary friends,

it's kinda common, rite?

As expected, I already know what my research topic was on. Primely describe it as a part of education, just gives me a path to study on this topic. As disconcern as well as deluded, people often give different opinion and respond on this topic. Despite of how SENSITIVE it is,

that urge me to further set my foot on this doscovery of so called "faith".

The definition of sensitivity itself arise as people tend to go very different on each other, for most it acts as a fragile code in our mind (not mine though xD ),

presumably a well debate on hell will send you to hell, which is quite interesting to check it out.

And because of that, this sensitivity arises debates of the pros and cons. The fact that it arises varying outcomes make this subject debatable,

WHICH GONNA WORK PERFECTLY FINE AS A RESEARCH TOPIC.



Who the hell gonna talk about " A dog is a dog" when the fact already showed that that's a dog?



For such research topic, It works well with both primary founding or secondary founding. As this subject is still hot on the pan, information can be gathered through interviews and surveys. For secondary reference and foundings, I am on my way into gathering all sorts of masterpiece, which includes 7books from the library and 12 books from dad's bookshelf.



The fact that most people feel that religion is somehow unquestionable is undeed a misinterpretation of understanding it and going against it. Education plays an important role to guide people "the way to think", not " the way to follow". This is proven when people are questioned on the origin of religion. The dilema of theory is a subject that arise due to this confusion. Does Theory arise from foundings or does foundings arise from theory?

Is a good example to explain this situation. As the same mind-block, before converting your thoughts, you should ask yourself about religion:

" Does it exist because I believe it? or I believe it because it exists? "



It may take quite a moment to understand the glitch in this statement.

Splitting it up, " Does it exist because I believe it?" tells the fact that human try to interpret a subject at his own belief. He will try to rationalise things to meet his hypothesis, as he believes it.



The second component is "I believe it because it exists?" explains things to be proven due to scientific procedure. The logic of its existence is rational, that's why human try to adapt to the understanding of this phenomena.

A simple example, Gravity. People try to adapt themselve to something pulling them downwards ( not to hell. lol ). This phenomena is there, theory is introduced to explain this phenomena, not because the theory is there that's why gravity exists.

That's why, science at the other hand, speaks of relative truth. As theories must keep
re-improvise whenever a new idea/phenomena clashes with the existing theory.

whenever the new fouding conflicts with the existing theory, the procedure loops back into

Getting an idea ---> experimenting



If result is positive, Improve theory

If result is negative, start back into getting an idea.



Analysing the both situations, it can be concluded that "Because I believe in this theory, it proves existence" is a way how all (or most) religion works to be. that's to stick to the idea.



Whereas, " Because it exists, and the founded theory complies with this phenomena, that's why i apply this theory" is a way how human study a subject with scientific procedures. Things have relative binaries. Which often proves that absolute truth doesn't comply most of the time.



The fundamental criteria of education is to teach, to guide, to nurture "the way to think" to others, not the way to follow rigidly.

Hence, religion cannot act as a component to educate people, as it somehows forms a barrier of "stick to it" for the followers, which restricts any improvement or correction on current theories.

Having moral education established concurrently with religion is a fraud understanding of how people interpret these two seperate entities. This scenario is so obvious to deny non-believers.

" No religion = No moral = Go hell" End of story.



This is how people use to understand Moral and religion. As they feel, Moral and religion are twins, or would say so that Moral arise from religion whatsoever.



They say " have faith", ways of life are obtained through faith, which is dadadada....

I wouldn't be able to clarify or "challenge" this thought if I wasn't on an exchange program to beijing last year.

My expereince In beijing, having a caring and loving host family in beijing prove to me, self-enlightening is possible in the absence of a faith-lord. I attended school, studied moral, studied Social civilian educations. China is a communist country, for people who doesn't understand communism will have the first thought of:

" pouring shit on holy places, killing innocent peoples, raping etc etc"

That's normal, blame part of our educaton, this is called Bias- history.

People do act on their own will without knowing that others generalises them as a group.
But that goes the same to religious groups. Al-Qaeeda : " It's god's will"
The Israel PM assasin " I acted on god's word" And the religious wars during Roman Ages.
But do you see them killing each other everyday? ( lets say today)



FOr the same in china, I see none. I see civillisation just as same as other country. What we learn in moral class, Is just the same, without (Kepercayaan kepada Tuhan). Yes, Belief in God.



This is something hard to adapt with, for believers. But on my daily experience in such
"god-less" society, I feel its more or less with ours. The proportionality of Citizen and crime rate doesn't draw a conclusion that [people get misguided without god], its a matter of morality. A matter of how you educate your people to do good.



A famous quote:

" Brother, cant you see the birds on the sky?
They dont need a religion,
They can see. "



My observation of such society made me question

" Can a civillisation of morality be formed without the guidance of faith? "

I prefer to take this subject into further exploration, rather than being bias to a side. But to form a thesis, I have to take sides.

Truth are relatively changing, which demands enhancement and improvement, which explains why we will stop at a stage if we trap ourselves in a death knot of fear.



" For those that believe in heaven, will never know the truth,
as they are blinded by Fear"

Here are some famous quotes to tell us what are these things after few days finding deep into my father's bookshelf and the internet...

As for what we know,
Heaven and hell are big contrast to each other. They hold the infinite range of good and evil, for those whom believe. For those against this, they find this phenomena a psychological response of Human's Desire as well as fear for it.

HEAVEN?

OR HELL?




From olden days, Discovery of Heaven and Hell exist as a belief. A path where humanity goes in the afterlife. Before the discovery and expansion on our knowledge about the outer world, the galaxy. Heaven is presumed to be above the sky, which gave scientists big headache figuring the exact coordinate of it. In the opposite, Hell being deep under the ground, filled with horror, burning and suffering for eternity. The fact that down below, the closer it gets to the earth core, the temperature increases higher. "It is believed to consist of an iron-nickel alloy , and it may have a temperature similar to the Sun surface"
Do you think it is possible for Satan to live in there? at that temperature? For a terrain with a temperature similar to the sun's surface, the glow would be sufficient to cover any shade or "darkness" as described by olden theologist.
Hypothesis: "Wrong claim."

Here's a good founding:

"The temperature of Heaven can be rather accurately computed. Our authority
is Isaiah 30:26,
"Moreover, the light of the Moon shall be as the light of
the Sun and the light of the Sun shall be sevenfold, as the light of seven
days."

Thus Heaven receives from the Moon as much radiation as we do from
the Sun, and in addition 7*7 (49) times as much as the Earth does from the
Sun, or 50 times in all. The light we receive from the Moon is one
1/10,000 of the light we receive from the Sun, so we can ignore that ...
The radiation falling on Heaven will heat it to the point where the heat
lost by radiation is just equal to the heat received by radiation, i.e.,
Heaven loses 50 times as much heat as the Earth by radiation.

Using the Stefan-Boltzmann law for radiation, (H/E) temperature of the earth (-300K),
gives H as 798K (525C). The exact temperature of Hell cannot be computed...

(However) Revelations 21:8 says "But the fearful, and unbelieving ... shall
have their part in the lake which burneth with fire and brimstone."
A lake of molten brimstone means that its temperature must be at or below the
boiling point, 444.6C.
We have, then, that Heaven, at 525C is hotter than
Hell at 445C."
--This is From the book "Applied Optics" vol. 11, pg14, 1972



Norse Mythology believed the God of Eternity, also Called Yggdrasil, exist as a world tree of a supreme size. Having its branches reaching Heaven, supporting it from falling. ( LoL) And its roots growing down to the underworld. Draw your own conclusion, I am blank on this one.

Some accused that according to Old Roman Mythology, Hell is so associated with Zues' Fallen Brother, Hades. That they seem to believe Hell maybe situated at Pluto, presumably called the Planet of Hades, Neptune. This was an misinterpretation for the fools. The Original Olympic stars are named accordingly to Zues, Hades, poseidon, Apollo, Hera, Athenia... For each god represents a star seen by olden philosophers. Till the discovery of science, scientist named the other 8 stars within the solar system with the Olympian gods.
Hypothesis: hell is at Neptune, Wrong claim.

Persian Mythology believe that there's a god of cloud,Ar'nu. That covers the heaven with clouds so that human cant see it. Then, Heaven must be at a strategic place that even the satellites cant detect.
"Astronomers must be blind out there" by NASA.

There are famous people that leave some quotes upon the debate of this subject,

Heaven: A place where the wicked cease from troubling you with talk of
their personal affairs, and the good listen with attention while
you expound on yours.
[Ambrose Bierce (1842-1914) American author]

"I don't believe in an afterlife, so I don't have to spend my whole
life fearing hell, or fearing heaven even more. For whatever the
tortures of hell, I think the boredom of heaven would be even worse."
[Isaac Asimov]

"Although the time of death is approaching me, I am not afraid of dying
and going to Hell or (what would be considerably worse) going to the
popularized version of Heaven. I expect death to be nothingness and, for
removing me from all possible fears of death, I am thankful to atheism."
[Isaac Asimov, "On Religiosity", Free Inquiry,
also attributed to Science Fiction Magazine, Jan 1992]

"The devil and God are components of a Siamese twin. Neither has any
existence apart from the other. In denying the existence of the one,
Christians have helped to kill the other. If there need to be no fear
of hell, people may well ask what is the attraction of heaven? Gods and
devils were born together. Gods and devils will die together."
[Chapman Cohen, "The Devil", Pamphlets for the People, no. 6]

"If thinking freely for yourself is a sure ticket to hell,
then the conversations in heaven must be awfully boring."
[San Francisco's infamous Dr. Weirde]



"Neither Heaven nor Hell, and surely not a
spaceship, will be found in the tail of a comet."
[Harlan Ellison]



This one is romantic , LOL = =

"I would rather live with the woman I love in a world full
of trouble, than to live in heaven with nobody but men."
[Robert G. Ingersoll, "The Liberty
of Man, Woman and Child", 1877]


President of the Humanist Association of Canada
"I tell Christians, If you had two children and one had to be bribed
(heaven) and threatened (hell) to do what he was supposed to do, and
the other one just did it because that's what he knew was the right
thing to do, which would you consider the better person?"
[Greg Irwin, President of the Humanist Association of Canada]



Let's imagine~
"Imagine there's no heaven; it's easy if you try
No hell below us, above us only sky
Imagine all the people living for today ...

Imagine there's no countries; it isn't hard to do
Nothing to kill or die for, and no religion too
Imagine all the people living life in peace...."
[John Lennon, "Imagine"]

"Heaven and earth, centre and circumference, were created
together, in the same instant, and clouds full of water. . . .
this work took place and man was created by the Trinity on the
twenty-third of October, 4004 B.C., at nine o'clock in the morning."
[John Lightfoot (Vice-Chancellor of
the University of Cambridge), 1859]
"The Neolithic age in China can be traced back as early as 10,000 BCE"
Neolitic Chinese are aliens? o.o


"Church: A place in which gentlemen who have never been to Heaven
brag about it to people who will never get there."
[H.L. Mencken]


"Sunday: A day given over by Americans to wishing that they themselves were
dead and in Heaven, and that their neighbors were dead and in Hell."
[H.L. Mencken]


"Brother can't you see those birds,
they don't look to heaven,
they don't need religion, they can see."
["Undertow", REM]

XD XD XD
"Of the delights of this world, man cares most for sexual
intercourse, yet he has left it out of his heaven"
[Mark Twain]

"Who are we to create a heaven and hell for ourselves, excluding animals
and plants in the bargain, just because we have the power to rationalize?"
[Mark Twain, "The Mysterious Stranger"]

Here's something by "Mr. Bean"
"Yes? Sir, any questions? Oh.. No, I m afraid there's no toilet here, If you read your bible,
this is a place with damnation for eternity."
[Rowan Atkinson as The Devil (or 'Toby')
welcoming new arrivals to Hell]

"Atheists!? I bet you're feeling a right bunch of charlies.....
And Christians!? Over here please. Yes, you see, I'm afraid
that the jews were right after all."
[Rowan Atkinson as The Devil (or 'Toby')
welcoming new arrivals to Hell]


Coloring book, haha

"You've got a Methodist Coloring Book
And you color really well
But don't color outside the lines
Or God will send you to hell"
[Dead Milkmen, "Methodist Coloring Book"]


"Those who believe in hell can never know
truth, for they are blinded by fear."
[Emmett F. Fields]



I shall end this with a good question,

If the baby goes to heaven
And the doctor goes to hell
If the woman gets forgiveness
What's the problem pray tell!?

The theism point of view to explain this subject may involve the Mythology universe
and certain folktale beliefs.

In General,
Contrast to God will be Satan.
As suggested, demons are supernatural being that is generally described as a malevolent spirit. In Christian terms demons are generally understood as fallen angels, formerly of God. A demon is frequently depicted as a force that may be conjured and insecurely controlled.

Example of fallen angels:
the coming of the 7 Demon Lord (7 great sins)
History of Destructive Demons
(e.g. Lamiae, Medusa, Gorgon, Abyzou, Abbadon)


The Greek conception of a daemon (< δαίμων daimōn) appears in the works of Plato and many other ancient authors, but without the evil connotations which are apparent in the Septuagint translation of the Hebrew Bible and in the Greek originals of the New Testament. The medieval and neo-medieval conception of a "demon" in Western civilization (see the Medieval grimoire called the Ars Goetia) derives seamlessly from the ambient popular culture of Late (Roman) Antiquity. Greco-Roman concepts of daemons that passed into Christian culture are discussed in the entry daemon, though it should be duly noted that the term referred only to a spiritual force, not a malevolent supernatural being.

The supposed existence of demons is an important concept in many modern religions and occultist traditions. In some present-day cultures, demons are still feared in popular superstition, largely due to their alleged power to possess living creatures.

Referring the book, CHAMBER's BOOK OF FACT, it proposed that the definition of many Demon lords is a result of a fallen god/goddess, mainly consisting of those originating from
Greek, Islamic, Persian, Romania, Traditional Chinese Myths.

As such, i shall point out a few example that can give a better explanation:


Lamiae
In ancient Greek mythology, Lamia (Greek: Λάμια) was a beautiful queen of Libya who became a child-eating daemon. While the word lamia literally means large shark in Greek, Aristophanes claimed her name derived from the Greek word for gullet (laimos), referring to her habit of devouring children.

According to Diodorus Siculus, Lamia was born the beautiful daughter of King Belus of Egypt, making her the granddaughter of Poseidon( which is Zues's 2nd Brother) and Lybie.^[6] Upon her father's death she became queen of one of his territories, Libya.^[7] However, while visiting Delphi, Pausanias remarks that Lamia was the daughter of Poseidon. He also states that Lamia and Zeus were the parents of Herophile.

Diodorus goes on to relate that Lamia had an affair with Zeus and bore him children. When Hera, Zeus's wife, discovered the affair, she killed the children in a rage ( known from the chapter "Hera's Wrath). Driven insane with grief, Lamia began devouring other children, and, according to Diodorus, her face became hideously distorted from her grisly deeds.

LIlith
a mythological female Mesopotamian storm demon associated with wind and was thought to be a bearer of disease, illness, and death. The figure of Lilith first appeared in a class of wind and storm demons or spirits as Lilitu, in Sumer, circa 4000 BC. Many scholars place the origin of the phonetic name "Lilith" at somewhere around 700 BC despite post-dating even to the time of Moses.[

The Book of Isaiah 34:14, describing the desolation of Edom, is the only occurrence of Lilith in the Hebrew Bible:

Hebrew (ISO 259): pagšu ṣiyyim et-ʾiyyim w-saʿir ʿal-rēʿhu yiqra ʾakšam hirgiʿah lilit u-maṣʾah lah manoḫ

morpho-syntactic analysis: "yelpers meet-[perfect] howlers; hairy-ones cry-[imperfect] to fellow. liyliyth reposes-[perfect], acquires-[perfect] resting-place."

KJV: "The wild beasts of the desert shall also meet with the wild beasts of the island, and the satyr shall cry to his fellow; the screech owl also shall rest there, and find for herself a place of rest."

This passage refers to God's day of vengeance, when the land will be transformed into desolate wilderness. Thus, Lilith was known in what, according to biblical chronology, would be the ancient Israel of the 8th century BC. The fact that she found a place of rest in the desert seems to allude to the Sumerian Gilgamesh incident: after Lilith fled into the desert, she apparently found repose there.^[26]

Schrader (Jahrbuch für Protestantische Theologie, 1. 128) and Levy (ZDMG 9. 470, 484) suggest that Lilith was a goddess of the night, known also by the Jewish exiles in Babylon. Evidence for Lilith being a goddess rather than a demon is lacking.

From Horace,
In Horace (De Arte Poetica liber, 340), Hieronymus of Cardia translated Lilith as Lamia, a witch who steals children, similar to the Breton Korrigan, in Greek mythology described as a Libyan queen who mated with Zeus. After Zeus abandoned Lamia, Hera stole Lamia's children, and Lamia took revenge by stealing other women's children.

"Her gates are gates of death, and from the entrance of the house
She sets out towards Sheol.
None of those who enter there will ever return,
And all who possess her will descend to the Pit.

— 4Q184"

From Medieval,
The first medieval source to depict Adam and Lilith in full was the Midrash Abkir (ca. 10th century), which was followed by the Zohar and Kabbalistic writings. Adam is said to be perfect until he recognizes either his sin or Cain's homicide that is the cause of bringing death into the world. He then separates from holy Eve, sleeps alone, and fasts for 130 years. During this time Lilith, also known as Pizna or Naamah, desired his beauty and came to him against his will. She bore him many demons and spirits called "the plagues of humankind"


-Olden greek myths propose that gods obtain the same characteristics of a human being, excluding supernatural abilities. Analysing a god's trait, evil ones are named demons whereas the saintful ones remain as gods.-

What can atheist say about that?
I wonder.... but the answer is up for next post ;)